Is The U.S. Going To War With Iran? | AJ+

Is The U.S. Going To War With Iran? | AJ+

Is the United States looking for a war with
Iran? The Trump administration will now financially
penalize anybody that buys Iran’s oil and will also impose sanctions on Iran’s iron,
steel, aluminum and copper sectors. This is the most drastic step the U.S. government
has ever taken toward Iran. And it comes at a time when Iran was actually abiding by an
agreement it reached with the Obama administration. So frankly, it makes no sense. In 2018, President Trump pulled the U.S. out
of the Iran nuclear deal – an international agreement unanimously endorsed by the UN Security
Council. It’s not that Iran was deemed to have violated
the deal; international inspectors and even U.S. intelligence certified that it was in full
compliance. Trump rejected the agreement itself, having
vowed on the campaign trail to take a harder line against Iran. Although the U.S. does hardly any business with
Iran, Trump aimed to deprive Iran of its prime source of revenue by threatening sanctions
against countries that buy its oil. After a year of so-called ‘waivers’ to countries
like China, India, South Korea, Japan and Turkey, those threats of sanctions have now
come into effect. So the United States doesn’t buy any oil from
Iran and hasn’t for a very long time. But what it’s trying to do is tell the rest of
the world how it should conduct foreign trade. And needless to say, most countries resent
being told whether they can deal with this country or that country. It’s only because of the power of the dollar
in the U.S. financial system because most transactions have to pass through the American financial
system that we even have the power to do this at all. Some analysts think that the Trump administration’s
policy is shortsighted, could backfire in a number of ways, and even set the U.S. on a
path to war with Iran. Many also see its purpose as being to create
such deprivation among ordinary Iranians that they rise up and overthrow their regime — a
longstanding goal of Washington hawks and Iran’s regional foes. Though European powers like France, Germany
and the UK oppose the U.S. withdrawal from the nuclear deal and the new sanctions, Washington
hopes to pressure them to comply by implementing “secondary sanctions.” These block foreign companies from doing business
in the U.S. if they also do business in Iran. So some of Iran’s remaining oil customers
are likely to fall in line and comply with U.S. demands. However the situation is much
more complicated when it gets to China, Turkey and India. They all have their own separate calculations
and horse trading with the U.S. and relations with Iran that they have to balance. It’s complicated and it’s hard to predict in which direction
these countries would move, but they will be the ones who will make or break U.S.’
maximum pressure strategy against Iran. At first, it might seem like Trump turning
up the pressure and reimposing sanctions will get the Iranians to comply to his demands. After all, sanctions forced Iran to sign that
2015 nuclear agreement, right? Not quite. The accord could only become a reality because
the U.S. met Iran halfway. So yes, I mean sanctions played a role, but
more important is a diplomatic strategy that makes sense, where a country can see that
it will get benefits if it agrees to certain concessions. And those benefits were supposed to be an
end to a lot of the sanctions, an ability to sell oil freely again and to have foreign investment and to see the economy grow in Iran. And that’s where the Iranians have been cheated
because so far they’ve been following the restrictions they agreed to
on their program but they’re not getting the benefits. There lies the difference between Trump’s
Iran policy, and the Obama approach that he has reversed. The Obama administration believed that avoiding
another massive U.S. military intervention in the Middle East required diplomacy. Obama and his advisors also believed that
it was necessary to make realistic demands and offer clear incentives to Iran to prevent
it from gaining the means to build nuclear weapons. Although Obama initially increased sanctions
on Iran, he also saw that sanctions had failed to curb the country’s nuclear program. In fact, quick history lesson: From 2001 to 2006, the Bush administration
had attempted to halt Iran’s enrichment program by using a mixture of diplomacy and threats
of force. States like these, and their terrorist allies, constitute an axis of evil. Guess what? It didn’t really work and Iran continued expanding
its nuclear program and began to build thousands of centrifuges to enrich uranium. Later, despite significantly tightening sanctions,
the Obama administration recognized that this was not stopping Iran from expanding its nuclear
program in a way that would give it the means to build a bomb. That’s why Obama concluded that by staying
on the sanctions path, the U.S. would be left with only two options: Either accepting Iran as a nuclear weapons-capable
nation or starting a war to prevent that. And he didn’t want to do either. Today, after two years of negotiations, the United States, together with our international partners, has achieve something that decades of animosity has not. Look, pressure without an open door is an exercise
in futility. The reality is the previous time when we had sanctions and they resulted in
a diplomatic solution, it was when the Obama administration took regime change off the
table in direct letters that President Obama sent to the Supreme Leader of Iran. And also when the U.S. took the first step and
made the first concession to the Iranian side when the Obama
administration took off basically the zero-enrichment requirement from the table, then accepted
a limited enrichment program on Iranian soil. It’s important to remember that by all measures,
Iran has been complying with the conditions underlined in the 2015 nuclear agreement. So if Iran has kept its end of the bargain,
why hasn’t the Trump administration done the same? Well, that’s because adopting a harder line
against Iran has been popular among American conservatives for a very long time. Even though Trump likes to say he’s the great
dealmaker, the kinds of demands that Secretary of State Mike Pompeo put forward are, are
simply unrealistic. I mean, they wanted Iran to completely stop
its nuclear program, give up a ballistic missiles, pull out of all the places it’s involved in
the region, even change its human rights policy. I mean, it’s, you know, they’re not going
to do that. They’re not going to capitulate to the United States. So what’s the other
possibility? Regime collapse. And I think that really is the goal of people like John
Bolton. They want to see the country fall apart. The sanctions against Iran have hit the country
hard. According to U.S. officials, Iran has lost
more than $10 billion in oil revenue because of sanctions. The Iranian economy shrank by almost 4% in
2018 and is expected to shrink by around 6% in 2019. Iran’s currency also lost more than 60% in
2018, worsening inflation in the country which is expected to reach at least 40% in 2019. And the Trump administration may be looking
to exploit this weakness. Look, there is this belief in Washington that
Iran doesn’t respond to pressure, but responds to massive pressure. So the idea is to ratchet
up and increase pressure in a way that would able to bring the Iranians to their knees,
either to come back to the negotiating table and surrender or, instead of capitulating,
maybe the regime will collapse. I think there are a lot of people in this administration,
most important among them National Security Advisor John Bolton, who believes that this
is a moment of vulnerability in Iran, that its leadership is aging and its population
is frustrated with political and economic stagnation. And if they increased the economic pressure,
they have a chance of bringing about regime change, which is something that many people in Washington have been dreaming for at least four decades. But whether the United States can successfully
sabotage and bring the Iranian economy to a complete collapse is still up for debate. After all, previous American presidents have
attempted to cripple Iran’s economy, but Iran has always found a way to survive. Without any doubt, the Iranian economy would
be in dire straights. But one thing that is important to remember that this is not the
first time the Iranians are experiencing these kinds of economic difficulties. In fact, this is the fourth time in the past
four decades that Iran is losing more than half of its oil revenue almost overnight. The Iranians are quite resilient and quite
experienced in dealing with economic difficulties and circumventing U.S. sanctions. So if we’re talking about short run, I think
they have what it takes to remain afloat economically. But this situation is not sustainable in the
medium- to long-term. Now, it may seem like the Trump administration
is the only one wanting to turn up the heat under Iran. The truth is, a few other players are involved. Specifically: Iran’s neighbors who aren’t
too happy with Iran’s involvement in the region. Of course there are U.S. allies in the region,
Israel, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, which are strongly supporting this pressure
against Iran because they don’t want Iran to be as influential as it is in their region. And there is this tremendous rivalry between Iran
and Saudi Arabia. It’s just gotten worse since Mohammad bin Salman became so influential. And so the Saudi hope is that somehow Iran
will draw back in the region, that it won’t be so involved in supporting the Houthis in
Yemen and propping up Assad in Syria and Hezbollah in Lebanon, that Iran won’t
be as influential in Iraq. I don’t think that’s going to happen. So, now that the U.S. has moved to essentially
strangle Iran’s economy, how will Iran react? In May 2019, Iran gave an answer: It officially ended its compliance with parts
of the nuclear deal. There are also signs that Tehran is getting impatient
with the European Union. The European Union has come up with something
called a “special purpose vehicle” for essentially a kind of ledger, so that trade could go on
between Iran and Europe without money actually changing hands, at least initially a kind
of barter arrangement. But it still has not started working. And Iranians are really, really frustrated.
It’s a year now since the Trump administration withdrew from
the deal and this “special purpose vehicle” is still not up and running. Trump’s hardline on Iran is also an all-or-nothing gamble. It’s important to understand that the Iranian
political system is not all in agreement. This means that, just like in the U.S., there
are competing voices in the political establishment. Quite a few of those voices weren’t happy
with the compromises Iran had to make in the nuclear deal. Now, those same voices are using Trump’s abandonment
of the deal to question whether there’s even a point in cooperating with the West. The Iranian regime views U.S. sanctions as
economic warfare, and analysts fear that they could be provoked into more dangerous confrontations
on other fronts, such as blockading oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, which could
trigger military conflict. They think that because the election in the
U.S. is just a year and a half away, they have to wait to see the outcome of that election.
But I think if U.S. pressure really brings the Iranian economy to the brink of collapse,
then the Iranians might have to put aside their strategic patience policy and pursue
retaliation. With relations between Washington and Tehran
souring, and Europe seemingly unable to act, what happens now? We are all hoping that the next administration,
even if Trump is re-elected, will change its policy toward Iran and will adopt a more realistic
strategy that has a chance of really not just, you know, changing Iranian policies that we
don’t like, but really improving the life of the Iranian people. But the pressure on Iran is escalating sharply,
and the next U.S. election is 18 months away. And even if it could be sure that the result
would change the current hardline policy, can Tehran wait that long?

100 Replies to “Is The U.S. Going To War With Iran? | AJ+

  1. So the rest of the WORLD IS WRONG AGAIN. How about Vietnam ,Laos, Cambodia, Nicaragua, Panama, Chile, Peru, Venezuela, Haiti, Honduras, Philippines, Greece, Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Palestine, Somalia, Yemen, Sudan, Serbia, Kosovo, Cyprus, Pakistan, Egypt, Argentina, China and Russia; obviously the rest of the world is stupid.
    How can they possibly know what country will be proclaimed the next nation an axis of evil? Only the war mongers in conjunction with MSM have the necessary credentials to establish a case for those bereft of brains to digest.

  2. Main reason: iran choked both B( israel & saudi arabia) in proxy war. Both r sematic and iran were aryan. Aryan win this war hence both B ask for help from his father trump plz help us to suppress aryan,we r genetically weak in front of aryan.

  3. get a clue, the US only did the deal to escape billion of dollars of interest they needed to pay on illegally freezing and holding Iranian assets since 1980's, once that the ink had dried on the agreement to discount the interest mean ole Trump could back out and the pressure could return to make Iran a western colony.

  4. More PTSD and bodybags coming your way. America likes to see people suffer and their soldiers dead. For what.

  5. This video was clearly bias and not in line with America's very clear security concerns. Obama's deal with Iran was terrible for the US and the Security Council supporting it has no bearing on the matter. The UN is just a mouthpiece for anti american and anti western propaganda. So this woman is disingenuous by speaking english and acting like she is American or she is a traitor. Close your eyes and imagine a soldier listening to Tokyo Rose lying to our troops in wwII. Just exchange a Nipon accent for Farsi. "Please Hanoi Jane try telling the truth." Israel and the US and therefore the Civilized world have every reason not to allow Iran to have Nuclear Weapons. To imagine a nation who supports kidnapping as a political statement and who do not honor diplomatic immunity as abiding by treaties is a failing of the Obama administration. Sorry Obama but you were blind to the facts of this world and failed your nation.

  6. Of course we should tell the rest of the world what to do. We have the power because we do the best choices. If your correct then be quit. The point is that we are right to keep Iran down or they will become dangerous. You have this idea that we have to let people who are against us. You are sown the seeds of dissent when we need unity. The nation of Iran can not be trusted or to act freely especially thier government is a religious group and the religious are not sane. Yes sanctions do not seem to work so attack the facility already. Bomb them so that we can be safe. That is all that can be done. Sanctions were a weak answer to a nation that needs a swat that kills.


  8. And you will not be able to buy or sell unless he receives the mark….Who does this? In this Age. Who can put that much fear in the "World" that even though they see clearly!? They swallow their own reputation as a man showing fear to another. EVEN WHEN THE LITTLE MAN STANDS UP, THEY SUPPORT THE ONE HARMING THEM ALL. Its prophesy. They have overdosed our desires and we have chosen that illusion in place of God.


  10. Obama's agreement never was never passed the Senate , Obama never even took it to the Senate knowing it would not pass …………The "Orange bad man" narrative is getting old . In his personal life is he garbage ? probably …..but he was voted in to get things done ……Looking at Democrat's line up to run against him , safe bet Trump 2020

  11. if any country or gov want war and starts one i say to all humans civilians in all countries take the war direct to your gov leaders we are not fighting there scummy wars no more you draft us we bring war to gov i say to all humanity take up arms now the world is at war

  12. I am affraid to say it but I am with Iran on this one…don't believe anything this particular white house says anymore…how could you blame me if you look at the facts of this historical Nuclear agreement and betrayal by President Donut and his envious rascist hatred of Obama and then if you have the ability to be really be honest with yourself you too will be with Iran on this one… that is for sure.

  13. usa is not asking for a war an ashole trump is he that little rich kids old school on the block i will not take no for an answer i get what i want when i want it he is a fuckwitt and also criminal he breached he code to is oath of leadership and threatening lives is against criminal code of justice he should be jailed no person is above the law threats to lives is criminal act he should be removed from office we civilians guarantee we will not fighting another war for any country or gov we get drafted we take fight direct to gov we not fighting any wars for any scummy gov no more

  14. iran if you want a war then go have it against gov directly us civilians dont want war we never fight another war ever again for any gov you have your war but if shoot just one civilian then the war you will lose we won't fight for our gov leaders whom are criminals but we will fight to survive and you will lose if gov call for war then you fight gov directly not the civilians this not our war and no war ever will be gov want war you go kill them idiots leave us out of it

  15. trump is hanging flag upside down this means country in distress and lost control a coup is needed here go take back gov and piece people

  16. Bloody hell administration trump
    Would need piece . Mr president trump this not good. Why should be interfere another country .
    Obama administration is very good.

  17. Here's the deal. Get rid of all the centrifuges. Get rid of all nuclear weapons. We then wont nuke you in the 6th century where you act like you come from.

  18. We should quit being Saudi – Israeli puppets.. But what would they do with nuclear weapons when every nuke from the West and every bomb from from Saudi and Iraq is pointing at them? Seems a little naive to think they would boast nuclear power with the absolute destruction of their country that would follow.. but at the same time their ties with Russia and China troubling especially if they were a nuclear power. Catch 22. Not to mention our Petro dollar deal with Saudi would fall apart if we didn't follow their idealism and demonization of Iran. We need back by gold again and take advantage of all the oil and gas that we have started producing again. Withdrawal ourselves from the affairs of all these other countries and worry about our country for once. we don't belong in 80% of the places they send us to anyway. Oil, war, regime change, destabilization when will it be enough..

  19. Stupid human they will never learn their lesson, If your mouth is whispering for a war watch this reality

  20. Usa wants to change the regime
    So that it can make Iran puppet state and use it
    As everyone know USA is letting off Afghanistan for Taliban
    If USA can do that
    It can make a block of Arab nations against China

  21. I love Iran the are my brothers en sisters a will allways respect them and love them with al my heart . Belief my the day the American hookers will fight against Iran belief my a im going to make America & ther leaders Israel to pay the price , American en Israel are modern nations that ar infectd verry wake , a now your wakest place''s & will attack you with that . You will suffer a bigger los than Vietnam & Afghanistan to gether . A now what real warfare means en a love the hit and run tactiek of Vietnam and Afghanistan . And mutch more . Qoran vers to the muslim Allah say's in the Qoran hold on the roop OF Allah that has trowen to us and by standfast and dont devied OOO MUSLIMS . LISSEN TO ALLAH AND DO NOT DEVIED O MUSLIMS BY UNITED FOR THE SAKE OF ALLAH AND Victory WILL BY OURS . Love you muslims en non believers that has a good heart aggainst muslims . A will not wait on the side line to see how muslims aggain aur slaughterd by western powers like in Afghanistan, Irak, Libya, Syria, Somalia, the Balkan nation . I am willing to sacraface my self and my bloodline only to defend the muslim nations of the real terror of westeren nation . Go to hell America you our a terror nation that will by defeated with no doubt . Muslims United against aur common enemy America , Israel , European nations . Please for the sake of Allah and only Allah United o muslims .

  22. Iran needs destroyed.good by Iran.u will be attacked in president trumps 2nd term .we the us military will destroy Iran like we did to all the going to stock up on popcorn.

  23. Much respect for Iran!
    Greetings from Lechistan, we remember your kindness!
    Don't let those fascist win!

  24. thats the plan for the new american century.. as decided by nazi's fromt he bush admin.. wolfowitz rumsfeld cheny.. and others.. they will invade every nation without a rothchild central bank.. they will kill americans in false flags to generate the passion for war in a fooled duped ignorant shamefully trusting us population. I just hope some nation with a powerful nuclear force can put the rest of humanity under their nuclear umbrella to stop those nations who are invading every nation they can with any invented excuse (including killing us citizens) they can come up with.

  25. I like president Trump, but I don't care very much for it's foreign policy towards India and Iran. Why couldn't Trump try to renegotiate the nuclear deal before arbitrarily pulling out? This decision effects more than just the United States…it effects our allies and friends. Btw, John Bolton was a very poor choice for National Security Adviser. He should go.

  26. hahaha! You can believe this bias, spin on what really happened. Many people might not even know the FACTS. Many people will dismiss the facts as fake. It all depends on that individuals "belief system". So, I must be bias, because I know this story to be [email protected] He is what I believe:
    Iran got caught red handed (in the spy world), and all their dirty laundry got hung out for all to see. Sadly, most won't even look, because it goes against their belief system.

  27. The West has lost its balls. The Americans waited long untill they stepped in during WW2. It took a ship to go down and later a mass assault on Pearl Harbor. Obama payed pallet loads of cash to pay the Iranians off. It failed.

  28. Who ever supports Iran will find it had on there corporation and government so don't even go there you will loose big time, Iran a dead State with the Leadership by the these crazy nut religious freaks. Iran's on it way to destruction

  29. We do not want a Nuclear Iran Period these Leaders of Iran are Nuts crazy people that will kill murder Europe and anyone in the West.

  30. The longer we play with these nuts the more Americans will die we are in to win Iran will loose we can not let one of the Leadership of Iran Live they all must die in combat or by hanging or shot by a Military firing squad. Death is all they Understand as final and lets give them death.

  31. Rahani looke like a women in drag with that beach towel on his head he looks stupid and as the Iranian President he's all nuts a loon Religious nut case for the ages.

  32. Obama was helping Iran build a Bomb a Nuclear Bomb Obama and his staff including John Kerry wanted Iran to have Nuclear weapons to destroy Israel.

  33. this woman should move to Iran and discover how far her ridiculous and short=sighted opinions carry her.

  34. Iran let them come to you they are fake Jews , God is with you.
    they know if the US start a war ISraHell is gone too .
    so everyone is on the brink collapse WW3 ,WELL done America.
    now you need to save IsraHell over 4 millions will walk thru towards Jerusalem .

  35. I do not understand what the United States does 7000 km from their territory, I know that Iran has broken a drone of the United States I understand that it's bad but I do not think it's a good idea to to make war with iran because this can trigger world war 3 because iran to a lot of allies and united states also i do not want that, it happens. I have nothing against the Americans, that's my opinion.

  36. ๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

  37. God will be in control.

    He is in control of everything and He controls each person and all people.

  38. And the elephant in the room is .. nuclear weapons. Obama handed 400 mil to the Iranians who used the funds for their nuclear program. Iran has made it clear they want to destroy America and destroy Israel. They must prevented at all costs from becoming a bigger threat

  39. I hope for no war but shouldn't the people recieving welfare checks be required to go ? After all they have been getting paid for years. We need cooks, dishwashers, clothes washed, oil changes, things built. There is work to be done.

  40. Iran is the world's leading sponsor of Islamic terrorism. They are also acting out by seizing shipping. Iran needs to be shut down. Obama paid $150+ billion dollar extortion payment. Trump isn't going down that road. Iran is going to get a deal they can't refuse. No more extortion payments, or a payment system to stop Iran' development of nuclear power which they do not need, or can not be verified as to development.. Basically, Iran misses the money to pay their clandestine military operations. Iran is either going to get along with the reast of the world, or they are in trouble. China needs the oil, Russia needs to sell oil. Iran is a major threat to the rest of the world, including China and Russia. Iran may well be a war proxy for everyone concerned. Best outcome would be for the Iranians to over throw the mullahs…. Maybe we could help.

  41. One thing we know for sure, war with Iran is inevitable, It could happen any day an Damascus will be obliterated, According to prophecy the question is whether it will all happen at the same time or not.

  42. Give sanction against Israel, because it has weapons of mass destruction like nuclear bomb, Hydrogen bomb, poison gas, sarin gas (nerve gas), phosphorus bomb (uses against Gaza , banned by UN)

  43. It was only a ten-year deal to slow down Iran, in the hope they would come to their senses and stop being belligerent to Israel, the US, and it's Arab neighbours. When someone says they want to wipe you out, believe them and take preventative steps. Iran has not come close to stopping its belligerence and support for anti-western anti-Arab terrorists and is extending its military reach bit by bit. This has not achieved the aims of the agreement. Iran has not changed. Appeasement, as history shows, doesn't work with an implacable foe. Remember that Iran is not a democracy, only a facade of democracy. Candidates are pre-selected by the theocracy and one man has the final say. My dictionary calls it a dictatorship when one man controls everything.

  44. The problem here is that Iran is the Major sponsor of terrorism in the world. They use their oil income to sponsor terrorism in other countries, which really upsets other Islamic nations and most of the free world. Previous administrations basically gave up trying to rein in Iran.

  45. Wake up people of America. The future has been written and I have given the message of what is to come and its interpretation. Pay attention and listen whether it is what you want to hear or not.

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